OH!!! Bama

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From Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

A new Public Policy Polling survey(pdf) finds Sen. Barack Obama begins the general election in Ohio with a double digit lead over John McCain, 50% to 39%.
Fully half -- not a mere plurality -- and double digits!

This is a huge change from more recent polls that showed the narrowest of margins in Obama's favor.

Yesterday much was made over the offhand comments the despicable Ape Pee highlighted (and of course are available elsewhere from more responsible and less rapacious news outlets) that Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe told doners, "the Illinois senator can still become America’s first black president even if he loses the two key battleground states of Florida and Ohio."

While the Lizard Brains take this to mean Obama is conceding the states Bush stole in the last two elections, if reported fairly and read correctly, the campaign is saying that these big swing states "will not be considered must wins by themselves, but only part of a conprehensive plan to compete in more states."

It's called the 50 State Strategy -- you might have heard of it.

Meanwhile, from the watch what they do, not what they say Department: "Obama Beefing up Florida Efforts, Padding Out Staff." They're also doing some serious community organizer training here in Ohio, where unlike Florida where he didn't campaign, he has an organization in place.

Roper, meet dopes.

[Caveat on the PPP Poll. Inside the numbers, the poll skews heavily towards Democratic Party identification, 55%, 30% GOP. Even then however, Obama gets 10% of self-described Republicans. Worrisome is McCain capturing 17% of self-described Democrats. The good news is that Obama wins those who don't consider themselves part of either major party 45% to 32%. Any way you cut it, this is a major improvement from the last time PPP polled Ohio in March which indicated McCain winning Ohio by 8 points.]

1 Comments

Ara Rubyan Author Profile Page said:

The preferred media narrative right now is "Why isn't Obama doing better?" which replaced "Obama cannot win" from a year ago. So that's for starters.

Then there's the CW which goes like this: "It's still close -- so stay tuned (because god-forbid our ratings should climb down from the astronomical levels we'd love to become accustomed to)."

Lastly, for those who read between the headlines, there's this from Chris Bowers:

...[E]ven without the PPP poll [from Ohio], Obama has a 4% in lead in all four national polls taken during the past week. If Obama were to win by 4.0%, ... he would be expected to not only win all of the Kerry states, but also Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, and Ohio, pushing him to 325 electoral votes. With such a lead, Missouri and Virginia would also toss-ups, giving him the potential for 349 electoral votes.

Not to say he'll win by a uniform 4% in all states across the board. But it's better than most of the alternatives.

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